Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje. The model makes Ciryl Gane a 61% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Ciryl Gane the more likely winner at 61%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Alex Pereira | Ciryl Gane | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-3 | Record | 13-2 |
| 79.0" | Reach | 81.0" |
| 38 | Age | 36 |
| 85% | Finish rate | 69% |
| Kickboxing | Style | Striker |
How the fight breaks down
Step up test: against ranked opponents Pereira is 3-3, Gane is 2-2.
The fight week news cuts against Pereira (camp, health or weight noise). Worth a look before you back him.
The betting pick
Our model has flagged a genuine value play on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
Who will win Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane?
Our model makes Ciryl Gane the more likely winner at about 61%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane?
Ciryl Gane is the moneyline favourite at around -109. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane go the distance?
Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.
How can I bet on Alex Pereira vs Ciryl Gane?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.