Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje. The model makes Sean O'Malley a 66% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Sean O'Malley the more likely winner at 66%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Sean O'Malley | Aiemann Zahabi | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 14-2 |
| 72.0" | Reach | 68.5" |
| 31 | Age | 38 |
| 58% | Finish rate | 57% |
| Striker | Style | Striker |
How the fight breaks down
Edge to Zahabi on style. 57% of his wins come early, and O'Malley folds in 67% of the fights he loses.
Step up test: against ranked opponents O'Malley is 2-3, Zahabi is 1-2.
The betting pick
Our model has flagged a genuine value play on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
Who will win Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi?
Our model makes Sean O'Malley the more likely winner at about 66%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi?
Sean O'Malley is the moneyline favourite at around -415. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi go the distance?
Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.
How can I bet on Sean O'Malley vs Aiemann Zahabi?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.