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UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje · Middleweight · 3 rounds

Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown

Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje. The model makes Bo Nickal a 67% favourite.

The prediction

Our model makes Bo Nickal the more likely winner at 67%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.

Tale of the tape

Bo NickalKyle Daukaus
8-1Record11-4
76.0"Reach76.0"
30Age33
88%Finish rate73%
WrestlingStyleMixed Martial Artist

How the fight breaks down

Edge to Daukaus on style. 73% of his wins come early, and Nickal folds in 100% of the fights he loses.

Against balanceds, Nickal is 8-1.

Step up test: against ranked opponents Nickal is 0-1, Daukaus is 1-4.

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The betting pick

Our model has flagged a genuine value play on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.

Unlock the pick & odds

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus?

Our model makes Bo Nickal the more likely winner at about 67%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.

What are the betting odds for Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus?

Bo Nickal is the moneyline favourite at around -310. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.

Will Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus go the distance?

Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.

How can I bet on Bo Nickal vs Kyle Daukaus?

We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.

See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.

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