Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2. The model makes Max Holloway a 63% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Max Holloway the more likely winner at 63%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Conor McGregor | Max Holloway | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-1 |
| 0% | Finish rate | 100% |
How the fight breaks down
Step up test: against ranked opponents McGregor is 0-0, Holloway is 1-1.
The betting pick
Our model has flagged a genuine value play on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway?
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway takes place on Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, about 27 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway?
Our model makes Max Holloway the more likely winner at about 63%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway?
Max Holloway is the moneyline favourite at around -310. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.