Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2. The model makes Gable Steveson a 57% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Gable Steveson the more likely winner at 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Gable Steveson | Elisha Ellison | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0% | Finish rate | 0% |
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison?
Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison takes place on Sunday, July 12, 2026 at 01:00 UTC, about 27 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison?
Our model makes Gable Steveson the more likely winner at about 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison?
Gable Steveson is the moneyline favourite at around -131. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Gable Steveson vs Elisha Ellison?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.