Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi. The model makes Christian Rodriguez a 56% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Christian Rodriguez the more likely winner at 56%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Hyder Amil | Christian Rodriguez | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-2 | Record | 12-4 |
| 70.0" | Reach | 71.5" |
| 36 | Age | 28 |
| 64% | Finish rate | 58% |
| Mixed Martial Artist | Style | Freestyle |
How the fight breaks down
Edge to Rodriguez on style. 58% of his wins come early, and Amil folds in 50% of the fights he loses.
Against balanceds, Amil is 11-2.
Against balanceds, Rodriguez is 12-4.
Step up test: against ranked opponents Amil is 0-2, Rodriguez is 0-4.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez?
Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez takes place on Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, about 6 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez?
Our model makes Christian Rodriguez the more likely winner at about 56%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez?
Christian Rodriguez is the moneyline favourite at around -150. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez go the distance?
Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.
How can I bet on Hyder Amil vs Christian Rodriguez?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.