Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi. The model makes Luana Santos a 55% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Luana Santos the more likely winner at 55%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Karol Rosa | Luana Santos | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-5 | Record | 10-2 |
| 67.5" | Reach | 67.0" |
| 31 | Age | 26 |
| 27% | Finish rate | 60% |
| Muay Thai | Style | Judo |
How the fight breaks down
Styles favor Santos. He finishes 60% of his wins, and Rosa has been stopped in 20% of his losses. If this hits the mat it gets ugly fast.
Step up test: against ranked opponents Rosa is 1-5, Santos is 0-2.
The betting pick
Our model has flagged a genuine value play on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos?
Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos takes place on Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, about 6 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos?
Our model makes Luana Santos the more likely winner at about 55%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos?
Luana Santos is the moneyline favourite at around +117. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Karol Rosa vs Luana Santos?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.