Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi. The model makes Levan Chokheli a 57% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Levan Chokheli the more likely winner at 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Leon Shahbazyan | Levan Chokheli | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 12-3 |
| 74.5" | Reach | 73.0" |
| 30 | Age | 29 |
| 100% | Finish rate | 75% |
How the fight breaks down
Edge to Chokheli on style. 75% of his wins come early, and Shahbazyan folds in 100% of the fights he loses.
Against balanceds, Shahbazyan is 12-4.
Against balanceds, Chokheli is 12-3.
Step up test: against ranked opponents Shahbazyan is 0-4, Chokheli is 0-3.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli?
Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli takes place on Saturday, June 20, 2026 at 21:00 UTC, about 6 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli?
Our model makes Levan Chokheli the more likely winner at about 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli?
Levan Chokheli is the moneyline favourite at around -130. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli go the distance?
Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.
How can I bet on Leon Shahbazyan vs Levan Chokheli?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.