Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr.. The model makes Magomed Ankalaev a 91% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Magomed Ankalaev the more likely winner at 91%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Magomed Ankalaev | Khalil Rountree Jr. | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 67% | Finish rate | 0% |
How the fight breaks down
Edge to Ankalaev on style. 67% of his wins come early, and Jr. folds in 100% of the fights he loses.
Step up test: against ranked opponents Ankalaev is 1-1, Jr. is 0-1.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.?
Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. takes place on Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, about 41 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.?
Our model makes Magomed Ankalaev the more likely winner at about 91%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.?
Magomed Ankalaev is the moneyline favourite at around -1064. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr. go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Magomed Ankalaev vs Khalil Rountree Jr.?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.