Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler at UFC Freedom 250: Topuria vs. Gaethje. The model makes Mauricio Ruffy a 84% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Mauricio Ruffy the more likely winner at 84%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Mauricio Ruffy | Michael Chandler | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-2 | Record | 9-7 |
| 75.0" | Reach | 71.5" |
| 29 | Age | 40 |
| 92% | Finish rate | 67% |
| Striker | Style | Striker |
How the fight breaks down
Step up test: against ranked opponents Ruffy is 1-2, Chandler is 2-7.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
Who will win Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler?
Our model makes Mauricio Ruffy the more likely winner at about 84%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler?
Mauricio Ruffy is the moneyline favourite at around -526. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler go the distance?
Probably not. Both fighters finish a high share of their wins, so a knockout or submission is more likely than a decision.
How can I bet on Mauricio Ruffy vs Michael Chandler?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.