Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez at UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Rountree Jr.. The model makes Umar Nurmagomedov a 57% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Umar Nurmagomedov the more likely winner at 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, the style and physical matchup, and recent form.
Tale of the tape
| Umar Nurmagomedov | David Martinez | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0% | Finish rate | 0% |
How the fight breaks down
Step up test: against ranked opponents Nurmagomedov is 1-0, Martinez is 0-0.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
Unlock the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?
Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez takes place on Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 16:00 UTC, about 41 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?
Our model makes Umar Nurmagomedov the more likely winner at about 57%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?
Umar Nurmagomedov is the moneyline favourite at around -133. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Umar Nurmagomedov vs David Martinez?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.