Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili
Prediction, Odds & Breakdown
Our model's prediction and a full tale-of-the-tape breakdown for Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi. The model makes Vinicius Oliveira a 68% favourite.
The prediction
Our model makes Vinicius Oliveira the more likely winner at 68%.
Tale of the tape
| Vinicius Oliveira | Andre Fili | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0% | Finish rate | 0% |
How the fight breaks down
Situational red flag: red corner had a banged up camp. Small lean to the other man.
Step up test: against ranked opponents Oliveira is 0-0, Fili is 1-0.
The betting pick
Our model has run the full value analysis on this fight. The exact value pick, KO/submission and round props, recommended stake and live dollar payouts are reserved for TKDbets Pro members.
See the pick & oddsFrequently asked questions
When is Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili?
Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili takes place on Sunday, June 21, 2026 at 00:00 UTC, about 6 days from now. You can see the start time in your own timezone on the TKDbets fight schedule.
Who will win Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili?
Our model makes Vinicius Oliveira the more likely winner at about 68%, based on Glicko-2 ratings from real fight history, style and physical matchups, and recent form.
What are the betting odds for Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili?
Vinicius Oliveira is the moneyline favourite at around -235. The full odds board, props and our exact value pick are available on TKDbets Pro.
Will Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili go the distance?
There is a real chance it does. Neither fighter finishes at an especially high rate, so a decision is firmly in play.
How can I bet on Vinicius Oliveira vs Andre Fili?
We model every fight for value and publish the exact value pick, props and a recommended stake on TKDbets Pro. The free preview shows the matchup, the tale of the tape and our prediction.
See the live odds, payouts and full interactive breakdown on the TKDbets card page.